Proof

See what we tested, what we found and what remains uncertain.

AGV publishes controlled, bounded proof so a human or AI agent can inspect the question, evidence state, decision boundary and next evidence required. Internal tests or public-data models are not presented as client results.

Evidence states

VerifiedModeledUnknownNot supported
How to read our proof

Each proof record states the decision question, scope, evidence used, what was established, what remains qualified and what the evidence does not prove.

PROCUREMENT & TRADE

Nigeria HS853650 Supplier-Diversification Decision Instrument

A source-controlled diagnostic for turning import concentration into a supplier-diversification decision while keeping savings and supplier-ranking claims on hold until comparable quote-grade evidence exists.

METHOD_PROOF_READY__SUPPLIER_RANKING_HOLD
Decision question
Can a concentrated Nigerian industrial-import category be converted into a defensible supplier-diversification decision instrument?
Scope
Nigeria-reporter trade data for HS853650, alternative-origin screening, technical/specification barriers, tariff and standards treatment, quote normalization, freight, lead time, payment exposure and switching gates.
Established
The method exposes concentration and defines the evidence needed to compare sourcing alternatives without carrying stale value-share claims forward.
Qualified / unknown
A current comparable supplier ranking, landed-cost saving and financing-adjusted advantage remain unsupported until additional quote-grade commercial fields are available.
Sources
Public-source trade, classification, tariff and standards material. Private supplier correspondence is excluded.
What this supports
Gathering and comparing the additional supplier information needed before a sourcing decision.
Current decision state
METHOD_PROOF_READY__SUPPLIER_RANKING_HOLD. The method is ready for evidence completion; supplier ranking remains on hold.
Required next evidence
Comparable supplier quotes with matching specifications, Incoterms, currency, payment terms, freight, lead time, standards evidence and other landed-cost inputs.
Prohibited conclusions
This does not prove a cheapest supplier, an ECOWAS sourcing saving, a current supplier ranking, realized savings, supplier selection or client implementation.
Human authority boundary
AGV can structure evidence and recommend what to check next. A human decision owner must validate the evidence and authorize any sourcing action.

Open the full Nigeria proof →